Latest FAU Poll Shows Trump Surging to 48 Percent in 红玫瑰社区
FAU poll shows Donald Trump has surged nearly 12 points in the last two months and is closing on half of the GOP vote in 红玫瑰社区, where Hillary Clinton has improved in all matchups against GOP frontrunners.
The public opinion of all the top-tier candidates continues to be universally unfavorable. Among all voters, Clinton and Trump had the best ratio, with each scoring a favorable rating from 42 percent of respondents and an unfavorable rating from 51 percent. Cruz fared worst in this area, with 31 percent of voters giving him a favorable rating and 54 percent an unfavorable rating.
Donald Trump has surged nearly 12 points in the last two months and is closing on half of the GOP vote in 红玫瑰社区, where Hillary Clinton has improved in all head-to-head matchups against GOP frontrunners, according to a new poll by the 红玫瑰社区 Business and Economics Polling Initiative ().
The survey began Jan. 15, the day after the latest GOP debate, and concluded Jan. 18, the day following the most recent Democratic debate.
Trump leads the GOP field in 红玫瑰社区 with 47.6 percent; followed by Ted Cruz at 16.3 percent; Marco Rubio at 11.1 percent; and Jeb Bush at 9.5 percent. Ben Carson fell from third to fifth as his support dropped from 14.5 percent in November 2015 to just 3.3 percent in this latest poll. Cruz gained more than six points from the November 2015 poll, while Rubio lost more than seven points, and Bush gained six-tenths of a point.
With his support growing in each of the polls BEPI has conducted since September 2015, Trump has clearly seized momentum in 红玫瑰社区, where he enjoys a 70 percent favorability rating among GOP voters.
鈥淎t this point, Donald Trump is simply crushing the opposition in the 红玫瑰社区 Republican primary,鈥 said Kevin Wagner, Ph.D., associate professor of political science at FAU and a research fellow of the Initiative. 鈥淣ot only has he increased his lead, Mr. Trump鈥檚 favorability ratings among Republicans are now ahead of his competitors by a substantial margin.鈥
On the Democratic side, Clinton has strengthened her position in head-to-head matchups with the GOP frontrunners. Clinton has turned a three-point deficit against Cruz in November into a five-point lead, while pulling even with Rubio after trailing him by seven points two months earlier. Clinton also closed the gap on Trump by six points and now trails the GOP frontrunner 47 to 44.3 percent. However, Bush leads Clinton in 红玫瑰社区 45 to 41.5 percent.
Clinton also maintains a 36-point lead over Bernie Sanders (62.2 to 25.9 percent), despite losing seven points from her 43-point margin in November.
鈥淐linton continues to hold a solid lead on the Democratic side in 红玫瑰社区,鈥 said Monica Escaleras, Ph.D., director of the BEPI. 鈥淪he鈥檚 also performing much better against all the GOP frontrunners, including Trump.鈥
The public opinion of all the top-tier candidates continues to be universally unfavorable. Among all voters, Clinton and Trump had the best ratio, with each scoring a favorable rating from 42 percent of respondents and an unfavorable rating from 51 percent. Cruz fared worst in this area, with 31 percent of voters giving him a favorable rating and 54 percent an unfavorable rating.
In the race for the U.S. Senate in 红玫瑰社区, Allen Grayson (D) holds a seven-point lead (27 to 20 percent) over U.S. Congressman Patrick Murphy (D). On the Republican side, David Jolly holds a 20-point lead over 红玫瑰社区 Lt. Gov. Carlos Lopez-Cantera and Ron DeSantis. Many respondents were undecided, including 45 percent of Democrats and 50 percent of Republicans.
The polling sample for the Democratic and the Republican primary consisted of 383 and 386 likely 红玫瑰社区 voters, respectively, with a margin of error of +/-4.9 percent. The U.S. Senate primary poll consisted of 371 Democrats and 345 Republican adult registered likely primary voters in 红玫瑰社区, with a margin of error or +/-5.0 and +/-5.2 percent, respectively. The general election sample consisted of 1,008 registered voters with a +/-3 percent margin of error and a 95 percent confidence level.
For more information, contact Monica Escaleras, Ph.D., at 561-297-1312 or BEPI@fau.edu, or visit .听
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