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FAU Expert: These Banks Are at Higher Risk of a Depositor Run

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With many banks having exposure to losses from commercial real estate and unrealized securities losses, more banks are at an increased risk of having a liquidity crisis caused from withdrawals by large uninsured depositors, according to an analysis from a finance expert at 红玫瑰社区


By amber bonefont | 7/15/2024

With many banks having exposure to losses from commercial real estate and unrealized securities losses, more banks are at an increased risk of having a liquidity crisis caused from withdrawals by large uninsured depositors, according to an analysis from a finance expert at 红玫瑰社区.

Based on first quarter 2024 regulatory data, 94 out of 1,028 banks with more than $1 billion in assets reported a 50% or higher ratio of uninsured deposits to total deposits, according to the index. Seven of the 33 banks with more than $100 billion in assets are above the threshold. The Bank of New York Mellon has a 100% ratio of uninsured deposits, followed by State Street Bank, 92.6%; Northern Trust, 73.9%; Citibank, 72.5%; HSBC Bank, 69.8%; J.P Morgan Chase, 51.7% and U.S. Bank, 50.4%.

鈥淭he first bank failure of the year, Republic First Bank in Pennsylvania, was number 87 on the previous quarter鈥檚 list with a 51.5% ratio,鈥 said , Ph.D., Lynn Eminent Scholar Chaired Professor of Finance in the . 鈥淎ll of the banks on this list are at a serious risk of a run by uninsured depositors should they exhibit any weakness from commercial real estate exposures or unrealized losses on securities.鈥

The index, a part of the at 红玫瑰社区, tracks 1,028 with more than $1 billion in total assets to calculate the ratio of uninsured deposits to total deposits using regulatory data. Banks that report a ratio greater than 50% are at an elevated risk of a run by uninsured depositors.

Three of the four largest bank failures in recent U.S. history occurred in 2023. They were precipitated by the rapid withdrawals of uninsured deposits following adverse news about the banks鈥 risks to exposure. With growing concerns about unrealized losses on investment securities and commercial real estate loans, the risk of yet another depositor run on banks grows each day.

-FAU-